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France and Spain to meet in 2026 World Cup semifinal in Dallas, USA
The first semifinal of the FIFA World Cup will be played at Dallas Stadium in Texas. Opta's supercomputer gives France a 42.1% chance of winning in regular time, and Spain a 31.8% chance.
France and Spain will face off in the first semifinal of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Dallas Stadium in Texas, USA. This match stands out as one of the most talked-about clashes of the tournament, pitting two football giants against each other.
According to Opta's supercomputer predictions, France has a 42.1% chance of winning in regular time. Spain's chances are calculated at 31.8%, while the probability of the match going to extra time is 26.1%.
Stadium and Crowd in the USA
The match will be played at Dallas Stadium, which has a capacity of 70,649 spectators. Located in the Arlington area, the stadium normally hosts the NFL's Dallas Cowboys and will be the venue that hosts the most matches during the tournament.
Past Meetings Between the Two Teams
France and Spain have faced each other 38 times in history. Spain holds the upper hand with 18 wins, while France has won 13 times, and 7 matches ended in draws. The teams' most recent meeting was in the 2025 UEFA Nations League semifinal, where Spain won 5-4 with two goals from Lamine Yamal.
The only World Cup encounter between the two came in 2006. In that match, France defeated Spain 3-1 with goals from Ribéry, Vieira, and Zidane.
Key Players for the Match
France's biggest weapon is Kylian Mbappé, who leads the Golden Boot race with 8 goals and 3 assists in the tournament. In attack, Ousmane Dembélé (5 goals) and Michael Olise (5 assists) are also making significant contributions.
On the Spanish side, Real Sociedad forward Mikel Oyarzabal has been a surprise as the team's top scorer with 4 goals. Mikel Moreno (2 goals) and Marc Cucurella (2 assists) have contributed, while Lamine Yamal, just back from injury, has had to settle for just one goal so far.
Strengths and Weaknesses of the Teams
France boasts a very strong attack led by Mbappé and supported by Barcola, Dembélé, and Olise. Although they conceded chances to Senegal and Norway in the group stage, they have kept three consecutive clean sheets in the knockout rounds.
Spain, on the other hand, stands out with a solid defense that has conceded only one goal in the tournament. However, their attack has at times been slow and lacking in creativity; they only managed to win their last two matches thanks to late goals from substitute Mikel Merino.
Extra Time and Penalty Scenario
If the match is tied after regular time, two 15-minute extra time periods will be played. If the deadlock persists after extra time, a penalty shootout will determine the winner.
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