The new Western Balkans report submitted by the US State Department to Congress draws attention not only for what it says about Bosnia and Herzegovina but also for what it omits. While reaffirming the 1995 Dayton Peace Agreement and Bosnia's territorial integrity, the report does not mention the Office of the High Representative even once.
The highlighted approach of "empowering local actors" is read as a sign of moving away from the long-standing international supervision model in Bosnia. Although this language points toward reducing dependence on external intervention and oversight, the report does not clarify what this means for Bosnia's democratic order.
Message of Exiting the Supervision Era
The expressions in the report strengthen assessments that the supervision period imposed on Bosnia has come to an end. However, the text does not provide a clear framework regarding the political consequences this transformation will have on the country's balance of power.
While the phrase "empowering local actors" may seem like a neutral technical choice, in the Bosnian context it could mean that the existing power structures will become even more dominant. Particularly, concerns are heightened by evaluations that ethno-nationalist actors in the entity known as Republika Srpska have been weakening the state structure from within for years.
Power Balances in Bosnia Fuel Debate
Another notable aspect of the text is its lack of a clear answer about the future of international supervision. The omission of any reference to the OHR in the report gives the impression that the institution's role in Bosnian politics is being sidelined.
This situation raises the question again of who will be decisive in decision-making processes in Bosnia. While local politicians are expected to take on more responsibility, there is no roadmap provided on how to balance forces that could weaken the country's institutions.
Although the report maintains Bosnia's sovereignty and the Dayton framework, uncertainty remains about the extent to which the international community will remain engaged on the ground. This keeps debates about the country's future political stability alive.