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Republicans sweat Texas and Florida as midterm races go down to the wire
On the eve of Tuesday's midterms, Republican Ken Paxton is locked in a neck-and-neck Texas Senate race with Democrat James Talarico, while Florida's governor contest between Byron Donalds and David Jolly has tightened in a state that has been solidly red for a decade.
Republicans are heading into Tuesday's midterm elections with unexpected worries in two of their strongest states, Texas and Florida, where races once seen as safe have tightened in the final days.
In Texas, Senate nominee Ken Paxton appeared on Saturday to scrap the final rally of his "Come and Take It" bus tour, which his campaign had said would end at the Alamo on Monday. The only Monday events listed by his campaign were in Conroe and Allen, and the Alamo Trust told Texas Public Radio it was unaware of any plans for an event on the grounds, where political events are generally prohibited, according to The Texas Tribune.
Paxton's final push also saw cancelled or rescheduled stops in El Paso, Tyler, Texarkana and Mission. He is in a neck-and-neck race with Democrat James Talarico, who said: "No one's going to Ken Paxton's rallies, so he's canceling them and hoping Elon Musk will buy this seat for him." Musk has poured more than $200 million into the race on Paxton's behalf. The Washington Post reported that Texas Republicans are worried about low turnout among their voters during early voting.
In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly made their final pitches this weekend in a governor's race that most polls show within the margin of error, with Donalds narrowly ahead. A New York Times poll released Thursday showed Jolly leading among independent voters 52% to 35%. President Donald Trump has backed Donalds, while former President Bill Clinton helped Jolly raise $3.1 million at a fundraiser in Miami.
Gov. Ron DeSantis, who campaigned with Donalds this week, said he is worried about whether enough Republicans will vote, pointing to Polk County, where equal numbers of Republicans and Democrats have voted in a county Trump won by 30 points in 2024. Republicans have more than 1.5 million more registered voters than Democrats in Florida. If elected, Donalds would be the state's first Black governor.
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