Late payments on US auto loans are rising at a worrying pace, with many of the problem loans dating back to the pandemic years, according to a Reuters analysis highlighted by the automotive site CarBuzz. The trend is drawing comparisons with the subprime mortgage lending that helped trigger the 2008 financial crisis.
Car prices soared during the pandemic as stimulus money boosted demand and supply chains broke down, forcing buyers to borrow more and over longer terms. The average monthly car payment has climbed from $550 in 2019 to $765 this year. At the same time, government stimulus checks temporarily made household budgets and credit scores look stronger on paper, leading lenders to approve loans they might otherwise have considered too risky.

Older cars, longer loans
With pandemic support long gone, many of those borrowers are now falling behind. Buyers are also taking on older vehicles: the typical car being sold in 2026 is about six years old, compared with just over three years in 2019, which means higher maintenance and repair bills on top of the loan payments. Data from the Securities and Exchange Commission show the share of loans set to be paid off only when the vehicle is more than 12 years old has jumped from 5.8% in 2019 to more than 30% in 2026.
Rising defaults among subprime borrowers would hit investors holding asset-backed securities built on these loans. A serious downturn in the $1.7 trillion auto loan market could also weigh on carmakers already under pressure and spill over into the wider economy, although the fallout would likely be far smaller than in 2008.